If Trump does act to have Mueller fired, stocks might crash and gold might soar.
Not only are valuations stretched, but there is also a new menacing pattern in the market that deserves investors’ attention.
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With some Republicans joining Democrats to potentially impeach Trump for obstruction of justice, a constitutional crisis could erupt.
If Trump were to find a way to fire Mueller, there would likely be Republican defections.
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the reason July might have set up the stock market for an excellent year
Any number of things could rock the stock market, including geopolitical risks, the top concern of which is North Korea.
Why July may have set up the stock market for a very good year 9 Hours Ago | 00:57The stock market’s strong July performance may ward off some of the negative action that often comes in late summer — and set up 2017 for more sharp gains.
The stock market has not had a correction of any size since the 11 percent sell-off that ended in February 2016.
“The good news is when you’re in an uptrend those returns are skewed higher,” Sohn said.
The S&P 500 for July is heading for a 2 percent gain, and the Dow Jones industrial average is up 2.6 percent so far.
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Investors may be in for disappointing market returns in the decade to come with valuations at levels this high, if history is any indication.
The chart shows how the S&P 500’s 10-year-out returns are mostly below 10 percent or negative when CAPE is around historical highs.
In a chart, they point out that the S&P’s cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE) is currently around its highest historical levels.
Plus, a single-digit return isn’t so bad, considering the potential returns for other asset classes out there.
“International small caps’ exposure is 70% cyclical by sector and includes a relatively high degree (55%) of domestic revenue drivers.
collected by :Dicson Walt